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Reasons Why a South African F1 Comeback Appears Unlikely

by Lena Garcia
Reasons Why a South African F1 Comeback Appears Unlikely

The Future of Formula 1 in South Africa: Kyalami’s Potential Return

The Kyalami circuit, located in South Africa, recently received significant news regarding its aspirations to host a Formula 1 grand prix once again. The Fédération Internationale de l’Automobile (FIA) has officially approved the circuit’s plans to upgrade to FIA Grade 1 status, a necessary requirement for hosting F1 events. This decision marks a crucial milestone and serves as a hopeful indicator for the return of Formula 1 to African soil for the first time since 1993.

Kyalami’s Upgrades and the Path to Grade 1 Status

The approval from the FIA allows Kyalami a three-year period to complete the essential modifications required to achieve Grade 1 status. These modifications will include adjustments to run-off areas, enhancements to barriers and fencing, and the installation of new curbs. It’s important to note that the circuit’s existing 4.5-kilometer layout will remain unchanged through these upgrades. However, many of these improvements are contingent on Kyalami being awarded an F1 race in the future.

Despite this promising development, the overall momentum for South Africa’s bid to host Formula 1 appears to be stalling. The prospect of an F1 race in the country seems to be several years away, if it materializes at all. Over the years, South African politicians have voiced their desire to see Formula 1 return; however, tangible efforts have been lacking until now. The government has initiated a bidding committee to navigate this process, but the journey has been anything but smooth.

The Bidding Process and Challenges Ahead

The timeline for the bidding process has faced delays, with the government extending the deadline for expressions of interest until March 18. Three bids were submitted: one from Kyalami and two others from Cape Town. A decision regarding which bids would proceed to the next phase was expected by the end of April, but this announcement has yet to be made public.

Sports Minister Gayton McKenzie praised Kyalami’s privately funded upgrades as a "massive step towards bringing F1 to South Africa." However, a spokesperson for the bidding committee clarified to local media that the announcement regarding Kyalami’s upgrades is unrelated to the committee’s operations.

Compounding the situation, one of the bidders from Cape Town, known as Cape Town Grand Prix SA, has already been disqualified. This occurred after they raised concerns about a dubious fee of 10 million Rand (approximately $560,000) that was required to submit an expression of interest.

Igshaan Amlay, the chief of Cape Town GP, expressed concerns to South Africa’s Daily News about the flawed process, stating, “A flawed process can be detrimental. We still remain committed to the bidding process, and we’re open to engaging in a fair and transparent bidding model – one that encourages equitable participation and promotes long-term development within our region.”

Financial Viability and Economic Challenges

It has become clear that the financial viability of hosting a Grand Prix in South Africa is a significant concern, especially given the nation’s current economic climate. With an official unemployment rate soaring to 32.9 percent, questions arise about how the South African Grand Prix can be funded. This financial dilemma is not just limited to South Africa, as other African nations, such as Rwanda, are also interested in hosting F1 events.

In contrast, Thailand has managed to address similar funding questions effectively. The Thai cabinet has approved a substantial bid of $1.2 billion to host a street race in Bangkok starting in 2028. This move follows discussions between F1 CEO Stefano Domenicali and Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra regarding the potential structure of a Thai Grand Prix.

Thailand’s Competitive Edge

Thailand has emerged as a credible candidate for hosting a Formula 1 event, primarily due to the strong support it receives from the highest levels of government. The proposed circuit in Bangkok would span 5.7 kilometers, running around Chatuchak Park and the adjacent train station, thus enhancing sustainability for the event. This race is envisioned to be funded through a combination of private and public investments, with the Thai government eager to boost tourism.

However, the political climate in Thailand has recently come under scrutiny, especially with Prime Minister Shinawatra facing challenges due to a leaked phone call regarding a border dispute with Cambodia. Despite this turmoil, the F1 project has garnered broad cross-party support, suggesting that it could endure even if the political landscape shifts.

Learning from Past Experiences

The situation in Thailand is particularly relevant when considering Formula 1 Management’s (FOM) strategy for expanding the sport’s global footprint. With numerous potential venues vying for a limited number of calendar spots, FOM prioritizes long-term stability and sustainability in its partnerships. As FOM CEO Stefano Domenicali emphasized, "We cannot go to a new place without staying for a long time."

This commitment to long-term agreements is evident in F1’s contracts with venues such as Miami, Australia, Bahrain, and Silverstone, among others, which have all signed extensions that will keep them on the calendar for many years to come. This strategy not only strengthens FOM’s business model but also provides promoters and local governments with a more extended period to recover their investments and enhance event quality.

The unfortunate experiences of past races, such as those in India and South Korea, serve as cautionary tales for FOM. The Indian Grand Prix at the Buddh International Circuit struggled with bureaucratic hurdles and financial difficulties, while the Korean race faced similar issues that led to its premature exit from the calendar. Additionally, the proposed event in Vietnam faced cancellation after significant investments were made in infrastructure, primarily due to the pandemic and political corruption issues.

The Need for Guarantees

Domenicali has reiterated that FOM requires guarantees on multiple fronts for any potential new race, including community investment, infrastructure development (beyond just the circuit), and a robust economic foundation that can sustain the event long-term. He stated, "But we’re not there yet," indicating that FOM is not yet prepared to commit to hosting a race in South Africa or elsewhere without clear assurances.

The Future of the Calendar

As it stands, there are no new venues expected to be added to the Formula 1 calendar before 2028. This lack of urgency from FOM allows for careful consideration and planning. Consequently, 2027 presents a unique challenge, as the Dutch Grand Prix at Zandvoort will be departing from the calendar. Other races, including those in Barcelona, Austin, and Baku, also have contracts nearing expiration, though it is anticipated that extensions will be granted for the latter two.

The open slots in the calendar may provide opportunities for Barcelona or Imola to remain relevant, potentially through a rotation system with other established races. Talks are also ongoing regarding the possibility of reviving F1 in Turkey, specifically at Istanbul Park, which last hosted a race in 2021.

Conclusion: The Road Ahead

In summary, while the Kyalami circuit’s upgrade to FIA Grade 1 represents a significant step forward in efforts to bring Formula 1 back to South Africa, many hurdles remain. The bidding process is fraught with complications, financial concerns loom large, and the lessons learned from previous failed events weigh heavily on the minds of FOM officials. The road to hosting a Grand Prix in South Africa may be long and winding, but the desire for Formula 1’s return to the continent is palpable. The ongoing developments will be closely watched as stakeholders seek to navigate the complexities of this ambitious endeavor.

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