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Who will win the Canadian Grand Prix? Check out the F1 analysis in Montreal.

by Lena Garcia
Who will win the Canadian Grand Prix? Check out the F1 analysis in Montreal.

Formula 1 Returns to Montreal: A Closer Look at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix

As the Formula 1 circus makes its way to Montreal, it has brought with it a thrilling atmosphere for the 10th round of the 2025 season. The iconic Circuit Gilles Villeneuve has been buzzing with excitement and tension, showcasing one of the most competitive weekends we’ve seen so far this year. With the practice sessions and qualifying completed, the big question remains: who will take home the victory at the Canadian Grand Prix?

Practice Sessions: A Competitive Landscape

The practice sessions offered a clear indication that no single driver or team would dominate the weekend. In the first practice (FP1), it was Max Verstappen from Red Bull Racing who posted the fastest time, but he was closely pursued by Alexander Albon of Williams, who trailed by a mere 0.039 seconds. This early indication of tight competition set the tone for the rest of the weekend.

The second practice (FP2) saw a shift in momentum as Mercedes made a strong comeback. George Russell clocked the fastest lap, followed closely by Lando Norris of McLaren. The standout feature of the practice sessions was the staggeringly small gap between the fastest and slowest times. In fact, less than one second separated the top 16 drivers, demonstrating the unpredictability of the Canadian circuit. Known for its sharp braking zones and minimal room for error, the Gilles Villeneuve Circuit is consistently regarded as one of the most challenging and unpredictable tracks on the calendar.

Qualifying: The Stage is Set

As Saturday arrived, the technical picture became clearer, though the primary question of who holds the advantage for the race remained unanswered. George Russell secured pole position with an impressive lap time of 1:10.899, marking the only time all weekend to dip below 1:11. Max Verstappen will start in second place, while Oscar Piastri of McLaren, increasingly establishing himself as a top contender, will line up third.

Ferrari showed more strength than many had anticipated during qualifying. Charles Leclerc emerged as a significant player, demonstrating potential for a pole run. However, he faced a critical error during his first attempt, which forced him to abandon the lap. In a second attempt under more challenging conditions, Leclerc managed to qualify in eighth position, but his race pace suggests he could perform much better on Sunday. The overall performance of the SF-25 indicated that the Ferrari was well-suited to Montreal, further supported by Lewis Hamilton’s fifth-place start—one of his best performances since joining the Italian team.

Technical Factors: The Battle of Efficiency

An important technical aspect that could have a significant impact on the race is the efficiency of McLaren’s brake cooling system. Montreal is one of the most demanding tracks of the season in this regard, with long straights followed by intense braking zones, notably at corners 10, 13, and 1. McLaren has been utilizing an advanced aerodynamic setup and a refined thermal management system for the brakes, which could provide a real advantage during the race. Piastri and Norris demonstrated strong, consistent pace during the long runs in practice, which may translate into a strategic edge over rivals who face more severe tire degradation.

The qualifying session also witnessed its share of drama. Alexander Albon’s Williams suffered an engine cover explosion, resulting in a red flag during Q1. Gabriel Bortoleto missed advancing to Q2 by a mere 0.007 seconds, ultimately qualifying in 16th place. Carlos Sainz, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson, and Pierre Gasly also fell short in Q1. Isack Hadjar, who managed to progress, was penalized three grid positions for blocking Sainz during a hot lap.

Race Day: Who Are the Contenders?

With Mercedes taking pole, Red Bull securing a spot in the front row, Ferrari’s surprising pace, and McLaren’s technical capabilities to handle the track’s demands, the Canadian Grand Prix promises to be a fiercely contested race. Russell leads the pack, but Verstappen is known for his relentless pursuit. Piastri and Norris boast a balanced car that is less prone to wear, while Hamilton and Leclerc have the track knowledge and experience that may prove beneficial.

Given the minimal margins present throughout the field, even the smallest mistake—or a perfectly timed safety car—could shift the dynamics of the race dramatically.

Who to Watch: Oscar Piastri’s Potential

If I had to place a bet in Montreal, my wager would be on Oscar Piastri. The Australian, currently leading the championship, has shown up with a well-balanced car and consistent pace. Perhaps even more crucial is McLaren’s unique brake cooling system, which could become a decisive factor as the race progresses and temperatures rise. While others may struggle with overheating, McLaren is well-positioned to maintain performance. Starting in third, Piastri finds himself in an ideal position—close enough to attack but far enough to avoid early chaos.

Should Verstappen and Russell engage in a territorial battle in the opening corners, Piastri could seize the opportunity to advance and potentially pull ahead.

The race is set to commence on Sunday at 3 PM local time in Brasília, with comprehensive coverage available at F1Mania.net, where journalist Rodrigo França will be reporting live.

With the stage set for an exhilarating race, fans and teams alike are eager to see how the unfolding drama will play out on the Canadian track. Each driver will be vying for their own piece of glory, and as the engines roar to life, the anticipation grows for what promises to be an unforgettable episode in the 2025 Formula 1 season.

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